Formula 1 races are coming thick and fast, with the Italian Grand Prix at Monza next up. But who are the favourites to excel at the Temple of Speed? Here are what the odds tell us…
Odds are provided by F1’s Official Betting Data Supplier ALT Sports Data, are subject to change and are presented in decimal form: for every $1 wagered you would win the figure represented by the odds; so, if Verstappen is favourite at 1.50, you would win $1.50 for every dollar bet.
The odds for the win
Oscar Piastri won last time out in Zandvoort, to extend his Championship lead over team mate Lando Norris to 34 points. But Norris was unlucky – a mechanical issue ending his race early, and costing him the chance to try and take the battle to the Australian.
Those two look set to go head to head once again this weekend, but it remains a mystery who might challenge them. Red Bull looked quick at times in Zandvoort, with Max Verstappen impressing. Mercedes had an up and down weekend, while Ferrari struggled and recorded a double DNF.
They are one team to very much watch in Monza, as they look to bounce back on home soil in style.
The odds for a podium finish
Norris’ DNF last time out meant he missed out on the podium for the first time since he failed to finish the race in Canada, while you have to go all the way back to Saudi Arabia to find a race where he saw the chequered flag but did not stand on the rostrum.
As for Piastri, he has only missed out on a podium finish twice this year – in the season opener, and in Canada.
But Leclerc will be trying to get back onto the rostrum at his team’s home race, after the delights of winning here last season. He has five podiums to show for his season – but team mate Lewis Hamilton has none. If he wants to break that duck, Monza would be quite the place to do so.
The odds for a top-six finish
There will be plenty of interest in how Isack Hadjar gets on this weekend, fresh from his maiden podium last time out in the Netherlands. He drove superbly to grab third for Racing Bulls, holding off the Mercedes of George Russell to boot.
With both Ferrari cars out last weekend, there were berths in the top six for the midfield, with Alex Albon grabbing fifth for Williams and Ollie Bearman sixth for Haas.
It looks unlikely on paper that Monza will throw up the same sort of chaotic race as Zandvoort, but if it does, the midfield runners all look ready and primed to pounce. The fight for fifth in the Teams’ Championship is hotly contested, and one big result could make or break the season for the midfield teams.
The odds for a top-10 finish
Plenty of teams picked up points in Zandvoort, but a few missed out. One of those is Alpine, who haven’t scored since Pierre Gasly came home P10 in Belgium. They are starting to be cut adrift at the bottom of the Championship, and could really do with a points finish.
Aston Martin are on a good run, with both cars finishing in the top 10 in the past two races. Fernando Alonso can never be discounted, while Lance Stroll seems to save his best form for Sundays.
Kimi Antonelli needs some points – he managed to score in Hungary before the summer break, but finished well down the order last weekend after two penalties. On home soil with the pressure on, the fans will be looking at the young Italian to deliver.
The odds for who will be fastest in Qualifying
Piastri took pole last time out, his first since Spain. That set up his tilt at victory in the Netherlands, but can he back that up with pole at Monza?
He grabbed second last year behind his team mate, but it was Leclerc who won the race from fourth on the grid.
Speaking of Leclerc, he has just the one pole to his name this year so far. Russell and Verstappen are the other two drivers to grab a pole position in 2025.
The odds for the winning team
McLaren have now won 12 of the 15 Grands Prix so far this season, their car the clear class of the field. Red Bull have picked up two victories courtesy of Verstappen, but the last of those was back in Imola in May.
As for Mercedes, they won in Canada thanks to Russell, leaving Ferrari as the only top team yet to win this year.
But Monza can throw up some unusual victories – Gasly winning here back in 2020, Daniel Ricciardo doing likewise for McLaren the following year, well before the papaya team launched themselves back to title-winning success.
As such – perhaps there might be another surprise in the offing this year at the Temple of Speed?
